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QJEEM23Ma4d92: JEE Main 2023 Mathematics - Class 12 JEEM23Ma4d92 Solution: A coin is biased so that the head is 3 times as likely to occur …

A coin is biased so that the head is 3 times as likely to occur as tail. This coin is tossed until a head or three tails occur. If X\mathrm{X} denotes the number of tosses of the coin, then the mean of X\mathrm{X} is :

Multiple Choice Options

  • A 8164\frac{81}{64}
  • B 3716\frac{37}{16}
  • C 2116\frac{21}{16}
  • D 1516\frac{15}{16}

Step-by-Step Verified Solution

The given probabilities for getting a head (H) and a tail (T) are as follows:

P(H)=34,P(T)=14P(H) = \frac{3}{4}, \quad P(T) = \frac{1}{4}

The random variable X can take the values 1, 2, or 3. These correspond to the following events:

- X = 1 : A head is obtained on the first toss. This happens with probability P(H)=34P(H) = \frac{3}{4} .

- X = 2 : A tail is obtained on the first toss and a head on the second. This happens with probability P(T)P(H)=14×34P(T)P(H) = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4} .

- X = 3 : Either two tails and then a head are obtained, or three tails are obtained.
This happens with probability P(T)P(T)P(H)+P(T)P(T)P(T)=(14)2×34+(14)3P(T)P(T)P(H) + P(T)P(T)P(T) = \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^2 \times \frac{3}{4} + \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^3 .

Now, we calculate the mean (expected value) of X:

E(X)amp;=1⋅P(X=1)+2⋅P(X=2)+3⋅P(X=3)amp;=1⋅34+2⋅(14×34)+3⋅[(14)2×34+(14)3]amp;=34+38+3⋅(164+364)amp;=34+38+316amp;=3⋅(716)amp;=2116.\begin{aligned}E(X) & = 1 \cdot P(X = 1) + 2 \cdot P(X = 2) + 3 \cdot P(X = 3) \\\\& = 1 \cdot \frac{3}{4} + 2 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4}\right) + 3 \cdot \left[\left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^2 \times \frac{3}{4} + \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^3\right] \\\\& = \frac{3}{4} + \frac{3}{8} + 3 \cdot \left(\frac{1}{64} + \frac{3}{64}\right) \\\\& = \frac{3}{4} + \frac{3}{8} + \frac{3}{16} \\\\& = 3 \cdot \left(\frac{7}{16}\right) \\\\& = \frac{21}{16}.\end{aligned}

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