Verified Solution • 2025–26 Session moderate

QJEEM21Ma0477: JEE Main 2021 Mathematics - Class 12 JEEM21Ma0477 Solution: Let there be three independent events E 1 , E 2 and E 3 . The…

Let there be three independent events E1, E2 and E3. The probability that only E1 occurs is α\alpha , only E2 occurs is β\beta and only E3 occurs is γ\gamma . Let 'p' denote the probability of none of events occurs that satisfies the equations
( α\alpha −- 2 β\beta )p = α\alpha β\beta and ( β\beta −- 3 γ\gamma )p = 2 β\beta γ\gamma . All the given probabilities are assumed to lie in the interval (0, 1).

Then, Probability of occurrence of E1Probability of occurrence of E3\frac{Probability\ of\ occurrence\ of\ E_{1}}{Probability\ of\ occurrence\ of\ E_{3}} is equal to _____________.

Step-by-Step Verified Solution

Let P(E1) = x, P(E2) = y and P(E3) = z

α\alpha = P (E1∩E‾2∩E‾3)\left( {{E_1} \cap {{\overline E }_2} \cap {{\overline E }_3}} \right) = P(E1).P(E‾2).P(E‾3)P\left( {{E_1}} \right).P\left( {{{\overline E }_2}} \right).P\left( {{{\overline E }_3}} \right)

⇒\Rightarrow α\alpha = x(1 −- y) (1 −- z) ......(i)

Similarly

β = (1 – x).y(1 – z) ...(ii)

γ\gamma = (1 – x)(1 – y).z ...(iii)

p = (1 – x)(1 – y)(1 – z) ...(iv)

From (i) and (iv)

x1−x=αp{x \over {1 - x}} = {\alpha \over p}

⇒\Rightarrow x = αα+p{\alpha \over {\alpha + p}}

From (iii) and (iv)

z1−z=γp{z \over {1 - z}} = {\gamma \over p}

⇒\Rightarrow z = γγ+p{\gamma \over {\gamma + p}}

∴\therefore P(E1)P(E3)=xz=αα+pγγ+p{{P\left( {{E_1}} \right)} \over {P\left( {{E_3}} \right)}} = {x \over z} = {{{\alpha \over {\alpha + p}}} \over {{\gamma \over {\gamma + p}}}} =γ+pγα+pα=1+pγ1+pα= {{{{\gamma + p} \over \gamma }} \over {{{\alpha + p} \over \alpha }}} = {{1 + {p \over \gamma }} \over {1 + {p \over \alpha }}} ..(v)

Also given,

( α\alpha −- 2 β\beta )p = α\alpha β\beta ⇒\Rightarrow α\alpha p = ( α\alpha + 2p) β\beta ....(vi)

β\beta −- 3 γ\gamma )p = 2 β\beta γ\gamma ⇒\Rightarrow 3 γ\gamma p = (p - 2 γ\gamma ) β\beta .....(vii)

From (vi) and (vii),

α3γ=α+2pp−2γ{\alpha \over {3\gamma }} = {{\alpha + 2p} \over {p - 2\gamma }}

⇒\Rightarrow p α\alpha - 6p γ\gamma = 5 γ\gamma α\alpha

⇒\Rightarrow pγ−6pα=5{p \over \gamma } - {{6p} \over \alpha } = 5

⇒\Rightarrow pγ+1=6(pα+1){p \over \gamma } + 1 = 6\left( {{p \over \alpha } + 1} \right) ....(viii)

Now from (v) and (viii),

P(E1)P(E3){{P\left( {{E_1}} \right)} \over {P\left( {{E_3}} \right)}} = 6

Related Learning Resources & Exam Preparation