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QJEEAdv13Ma460d: JEE Advanced 2013 Mathematics - Class 12 JEEAdv13Ma460d Solution: A box contains white ball, red balls and black balls. Another…

A box B1{B_1} contains 11 white ball, 33 red balls and 22 black balls. Another box B2{B_2} contains 22 white balls, 33 red balls and 44 black balls. A third box B3{B_3} contains 33 white balls, 44 red balls and 55 black balls.

If 22 balls are drawn (without replacement) from a randomly selected box and one of the balls is white and the other ball is red, the probability that these 22 balls are drawn from box B2{B_2} is

Multiple Choice Options

  • A 116181{{116} \over {181}}
  • B 126181{{126} \over {181}}
  • C 65181{{65} \over {181}}
  • D 55181{{55} \over {181}}

Step-by-Step Verified Solution

Let EE be the event of one white and one red balls A1,A2,A3A_1, A_2, A_3 be the events of both balls are from box B1, B2, B3\mathrm{B}_1, \mathrm{~B}_2, \mathrm{~B}_3 respectively

Now, the probability of one white and one red both balls are drawn from box B2B_2 is P(A2E)P\left(\frac{A_2}{E}\right) .

⇒P(A2E)=P(A2∩E)P(E)\Rightarrow P\left(\frac{A_2}{E}\right)=\frac{P\left(A_2 \cap E\right)}{P(E)}

amp;⇒P(A2E)=P(A2)⋅P(EA2)P(A1)⋅P(EA1)+P(A2).P(EA2)+P(A3)⋅P(EA3)amp;⇒P(A2E)=13×2C1⋅3C19C213×1C1⋅3C16C2+13×2C1⋅3C19C2+13×3C1⋅4C112C2amp;⇒P(A2E)=1615+16+211amp;⇒P(A2E)=55181\begin{aligned}& \Rightarrow P\left(\frac{A_2}{E}\right)=\frac{P\left(A_2\right) \cdot P\left(\frac{E}{A_2}\right)}{P\left(A_1\right) \cdot P\left(\frac{E}{A_1}\right)+P\left(A_2\right).\mathrm{P}\left(\frac{\mathrm{E}}{\mathrm{A}_2}\right)+\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{A}_3\right) \cdot \mathrm{P}\left(\frac{\mathrm{E}}{\mathrm{A}_3}\right)} \\& \Rightarrow \mathrm{P}\left(\frac{\mathrm{A}_2}{\mathrm{E}}\right)=\frac{\frac{1}{3} \times \frac{{ }^2 \mathrm{C}_1 \cdot{ }^3 \mathrm{C}_1}{{ }^9 \mathrm{C}_2}}{\frac{1}{3} \times \frac{{ }^1 \mathrm{C}_1 \cdot{ }^3 \mathrm{C}_1}{{ }^6 \mathrm{C}_2}+\frac{1}{3} \times \frac{{ }^2 \mathrm{C}_1 \cdot{ }^3 \mathrm{C}_1}{{ }^9 \mathrm{C}_2}+\frac{1}{3} \times \frac{{ }^3 \mathrm{C}_1 \cdot{ }^4 \mathrm{C}_1}{{ }^{12} \mathrm{C}_2} } \\& \Rightarrow \mathrm{P}\left(\frac{\mathrm{A}_2}{\mathrm{E}}\right)=\frac{\frac{1}{6}}{\frac{1}{5}+\frac{1}{6}+\frac{2}{11}} \\& \Rightarrow \mathrm{P}\left(\frac{\mathrm{A}_2}{\mathrm{E}}\right)=\frac{55}{181} \\\end{aligned}

Hints:

⇒\Rightarrow Recall the Bay's theorem

P(A2E)=P(A2)⋅P(EA2)P(A1)⋅P(EA)+P(A2)⋅P(EA2)+P(A3)⋅P(EA3)\begin{gathered}P\left(\frac{A_2}{E}\right)=\frac{P\left(A_2\right) \cdot P\left(\frac{E}{A_2}\right)}{P\left(A_1\right) \cdot P\left(\frac{E}{A}\right)+P\left(A_2\right) \cdot P\left(\frac{E}{A_2}\right)+P\left(A_3\right) \cdot P\left(\frac{E}{A_3}\right)}\\\end{gathered}

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